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Portugal · Primeira Liga

FC Arouca vs CD Tondela

FC Arouca FC Arouca 3.10
VS
Sat, May 16
19:00 CET
draw
3.50
CD Tondela CD Tondela 2.14
Win Probability implied from market odds
30%
FC Arouca
3.10
26.6%
Draw
3.50
43.4%
CD Tondela
2.14

CD Tondela are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.50 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$350.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on CD Tondela (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 2.14. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $214.00.

Betting Prediction

FC Arouca vs CD Tondela Prediction & Betting Tips | Primeira Liga Soccer

FC Arouca vs CD Tondela – Primeira Liga Match Prediction

Portugal | Primeira Liga | Soccer

Ahead of this Primeira Liga fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for FC Arouca vs CD Tondela.

Outcome: FC Arouca Win | Probability: 30.0

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 26.6

Outcome: CD Tondela Win | Probability: 43.4

Who Is Favoured between FC Arouca vs CD Tondela?

Our model points to CD Tondela as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 43.4 probability of taking the win. FC Arouca are rated at 30.0 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 26.6 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 26.6 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Primeira Liga Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. CD Tondela's 43.4 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, FC Arouca's 30.0 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of Primeira Liga Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for FC Arouca vs CD Tondela: CD Tondela to win is the percentage-backed selection at 43.4. The draw at 26.6 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. FC Arouca at 30.0 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: FC Arouca vs CD Tondela

Sport: Soccer

Country: Portugal

League: Primeira Liga

Favourite: CD Tondela (43.4)

Draw Chance: 26.6

Underdog: FC Arouca (30.0)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 3.10
X 3.50
2 2.14

10

11 1.33
10 1.26
9 1.64

11

2 1.63
1 2.18