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Croatia · HNL

NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka

NK Istra 1961 NK Istra 1961 4.20
VS
Sun, May 17
18:45 CET
draw
3.45
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 1.78
Win Probability implied from market odds
21.8%
NK Istra 1961
4.20
26.6%
Draw
3.45
51.6%
HNK Rijeka
1.78

HNK Rijeka are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

NK Istra 1961 (Home team) odds offer the highest possible win at 4.20 odds. If you bet $100 on NK Istra 1961 you can win $$420.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on HNK Rijeka (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 1.78. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $178.00.

Betting Prediction

NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka Prediction & Betting Tips | HNL Soccer

NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka – HNL Match Prediction

Croatia | HNL | Soccer

Ahead of this HNL fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka.

Outcome: NK Istra 1961 Win | Probability: 21.8

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 26.6

Outcome: HNK Rijeka Win | Probability: 51.6

Who Is Favoured between NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?

Our model points to HNK Rijeka as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 51.6 probability of taking the win. NK Istra 1961 are rated at 21.8 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 26.6 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 26.6 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for HNL Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. HNK Rijeka's 51.6 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, NK Istra 1961's 21.8 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of HNL Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka: HNK Rijeka to win is the percentage-backed selection at 51.6. The draw at 26.6 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. NK Istra 1961 at 21.8 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka

Sport: Soccer

Country: Croatia

League: HNL

Favourite: HNK Rijeka (51.6)

Draw Chance: 26.6

Underdog: NK Istra 1961 (21.8)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 4.20
X 3.45
2 1.78

11

2 1.31
1 3.10